Debt Josh on 15 Mar 2009
Why You Should Stop Complaining About (And Keep Contributing to) Your 401 (k)
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If you are like most people, you are probably wondering what the point of contributing to your 401 (k) is right n0w. Your investments are almost certainly down at least 30 percent over the past six months and probably more. You are literally watching every new dollar you put in vanish before your eyes. I’m sure the last thing you want to hear right now is someone else telling you to not worry about the short-term results and just keep on contributing. But at the risk of having stones thrown at me, that’s exactly what I’m going to do, and I’m going to take it a step further. Not only should you still be contributing to your retirement accounts, you should be glad the market is doing what it is doing and should increase your contributions if you can afford it.
To clarify, what I’m going to say only pertains to those who are relatively new to the workforce and thus have a small sum accumulated in their retirement account. If you have been contributing to your 401 (k) for ten or more years, the opposite of what I say could be true for you and you have every right to be freaked out about the market right now. For the rest of us, the current market is providing an excellent opportunity for our retirement accounts and any other long-term investment accounts. Here’s why:
Last month, Carl Richards at Behavior Gap wrote an article titled “Investing 101: Average is NOT Norma”l. The article was so good it landed guest post gigs on two of the top personal finance sites, Get Rich Slowly and I Will Teach You to Be Rich. In the article, Richards explains the difference between average investment returns over a long period of time, and average returns during each year of that period. For example, while it is safe to assume that over a 30 year period you will receive at least a seven percent return in a properly diversified retirement account, that does not mean each of those thirty years will have a seven percent return. You may have years of 40 percent return and years of -30 percent return.
Timing is everything
This is not new news for anyone who has been paying attention the last six months. It is pretty obvious to us all at this point that seven percent returns are not guaranteed every year. But what’s not so obvious to most of us is that when you experience the worst returns has a signficant effect on the overall return your account will provide. Experience a market crash near the beginning of your investing life (as most of our generation is), and you could be set up for above average long-term returns. Experience a market crash in the middle or end of your investing life, and you will likely face below average long-term returns. Here is Richards explanation of why experiencing the crash early will boost your overall results:
You start with a small initial investment and then do the right thing by adding money each month. You feel like you are throwing good money after bad because each month your statement arrives and it is lower. But you continue to accumulate shares of the investment. After years of “bad” performance you have built up a sizable portfolio and the market turns, and you have years of “above” average returns. In this case the “good” returns came at the time when you had the most money to benefit from them.
So by accumulating your market shares while the prices are down, you set yourself up to have the most amount of shares when the market goes back up.
Dollar cost averaging is the key to profiting from market crash
Dollar cost averaging is the act of investing a set amount of money in regular intervals, such as monthly or yearly. The idea behind this strategy is that you will automatically purchase more shares when a stock is at its lowest and less shares when it is at its highest (optimizing the idea of “buying low and selling high”). When you contribute to a 401 (k) or other retirement account, dollar cost averaging is done automatically. Here is an over simplified example of how dollar cost averaging works:
Let’s say you invest $100 monthly into your retirement account. This is what your account would like look if the following price changes occurred:
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First month- Fund is selling for $25 a share, allowing you to purchase four shares.
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Second month- Fund falls to $20 a share, allowing you to purchase five shares.
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Third month- Fund falls to $10 a share, allowing you to purchase ten shares.
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Fourth month- Fund falls to $5 a share, allowing you to purchase 20 shares.
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Fifth month- Fund falls to $4 a share, allowing you to purchase 25 shares.
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Sixth month- Fund climbs back to $10 a share, allowing you to purchase 10 shares.
At the end of this sixth month experiment, you have invested $600 into this fund at an average cost of $8.11 per share. If you sold all your shares at the current market value of $10 a share, you would make $139.86, good for a 23.31 percent return on investment. That is a phenomenal return under any circumstance. When you consider you achieved that return in a market that saw the price drop from $25 a share to $10 a share from the time you started investing, it is a mind blowing return.
Had you invested all $600 during the first month, instead of dollar cost averaging, you would own 24 shares at an average price of $25 dollars a share, giving you a net loss of $360 or -60 percent.
The power of dollar cost averaging is remarkable.
What this all means
Summing up this long post, this market crash that we are all complaining about could prove to be a benefit to your retirement account. By continuing your annual contributions, (or even increasing them if you have the extra money) you will set yourself up for well above average returns in the long-run.
So rip up your monthly statements if you have to, stop worrying about the doom and gloom you are hearing on TV and be comforted in the fact that if this is the worst market we face in our working lives (as it very well should be if history is any indication) it could not have happened at a better time.
Please send any questions, concerns and story tips to josh@nickeledanddimed.com.