Reader Questions Josh on 10 Mar 2009
Open Mic: Question From a Reader
This weeks Open Mic question comes from Kyle Franklin in Columbus, Ohio.
I am 31 years old and trying to figure out what to do with my 401 (k). I am all for saving money for retirement, and had over $10,000 saved up on a modest salary before the market crash. Since then, I have watched my money disappear before my eyes and it is now under $6,000. I have stopped contributing to the account as I don’t like giving my money away. My question is how do I know when the market has bottomed out so I can start contributing to my 401 (k) again and not miss out on the rebound (if it ever comes!)?
While Centsability to Wealth is a personal finance site, I love talking about the economy, too. And since Kyle’s question is one a lot of people seem to be asking these days, I figured we should tackle it here.
If you are a regular reader of CTW, you have seen me say before that I don’t think the economy should change your personal finances. When you have the right strategies in place, your micro economy is safe from the macro economy. Paying off debt, building an emergency fund and saving for retirement are things that should be done no matter how good or bad the stock market is doing. But I understand that it’s not that easy. I realize we see the market dropping to ten year lows and even the thought of investing in it makes us cringe. I know you are looking at your account statements and seeing 40 percent losses, just like Kyle. Here’s my advice: Ignore it.
Doom and gloom is every where. You can’t turn on the TV with hearing how this is the biggest financial disaster since the Great Depression. But if you can ignore the talking heads on TV and some of the so called experts, you may find that this is one of the best times in history to be funding your retirement accounts. Stocks are being sold at once in a lifetime discounts, and unless you are within ten years of retirement, you really don’t care how much lower they go.
In Kyles case, especially, stopping your retirement contributions and waiting for the market to “bottom” is the absolute worst thing you can possibly do. Unless the market drops all the way to zero (and I can confidently tell you that isn’t happening), by dollar-cost averaging your investments (this is done automatically with regular 401 (k) contributions) you will come out ahead in the long-run. You have over 30 years until retirement, Kyle, you should be seeing this economy as a huge opportunity, not a detriment.
I can’t tell you when or where the bottom is. What I can tell you is that if you wait for it, you will likely miss out on some of the biggest gains the market will have during your lifetime. Trying to time the market is a fools game and studies show that by missing out on even a few days of the top rallies you can significantly reduce your long-term gains. With time on your side, there is no reason not to be contributing as much as you possibly can to your retirement accounts right now.
So, Kyle, not only do I think you should immediately pick back up your 401 (k) contributions, I think you should raise them. We are programmed to take advantage of sales in nearly every other area of our lives. Stocks should be treated the same way. Don’t try to time the market. Stick with the age old strategies that have made people wealthy for hundreds of years. Continue to fund your retirement and throw out the monthly statements if it is too hard to look at your short-term losses.
It’s like Warren Buffet always says, “when everyone’s being greedy, be fearful. When everyone’s being fearful, be greedy”. Now’s the time to be greedy, Kyle.
If you would like to be featured in a future addition of Open Mic, send your personal finance related question to centsabilitytowealth@gmail.com.
Technorati Tags: personal finance, economy, retirement, 401 (k), dollar-cost averaging, great depression, warren buffet, money, financial crisis